Race 2A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Grant Adam 14.0% 14.9% 15.9% 13.1% 14.9% 9.7% 8.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 29.2% 24.3% 17.7% 12.2% 6.2% 6.1% 3.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.6% 7.8% 11.8% 11.1% 10.9% 12.8% 11.1% 11.6% 7.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Joshua Dillon 10.4% 12.0% 13.9% 15.7% 10.9% 10.9% 9.9% 8.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Sam Monaghan 15.7% 16.4% 14.5% 14.1% 12.3% 10.3% 7.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Ian McCaffrey 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 3.7% 3.6% 5.2% 6.3% 10.4% 19.2% 42.4%
Timothy Burns 4.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 8.1% 10.6% 13.6% 11.7% 11.3% 9.7% 4.8%
David Perez 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.1% 16.0% 14.7% 13.4%
Felix Nusbaum 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 6.5% 8.4% 10.7% 14.1% 23.1% 22.9%
Andy Leshaw 4.0% 5.2% 4.7% 4.8% 8.0% 8.9% 10.2% 12.0% 14.1% 12.6% 10.0% 5.5%
Gregory Dillon 3.5% 3.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 10.2% 11.6% 13.2% 15.4% 10.0% 5.3%
Izaiah Farr 5.0% 4.4% 3.6% 7.0% 8.9% 9.7% 10.7% 11.2% 14.5% 10.9% 9.7% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.