Race 3A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Monaghan 15.9% 14.7% 15.0% 15.3% 12.8% 10.4% 7.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Izaiah Farr 3.8% 4.2% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 9.9% 9.7% 12.9% 12.5% 11.8% 9.5% 4.4%
Joshua Bartoszuk 29.6% 23.2% 18.6% 12.9% 8.6% 3.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 7.7% 11.7% 13.4% 20.3% 26.9%
Grant Adam 14.6% 17.8% 14.5% 12.5% 11.9% 9.6% 8.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.9% 7.6% 9.2% 12.4% 11.8% 13.9% 12.6% 10.0% 6.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9%
Joshua Dillon 11.7% 14.0% 13.5% 12.9% 11.8% 10.6% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
David Perez 2.7% 2.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.9% 6.8% 9.3% 8.4% 11.2% 15.8% 16.3% 11.4%
Timothy Burns 3.9% 3.5% 5.2% 6.7% 8.7% 11.2% 11.5% 10.7% 12.5% 12.8% 8.9% 4.4%
Ian McCaffrey 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 6.1% 8.5% 10.5% 19.5% 39.7%
Gregory Dillon 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.9% 8.0% 7.6% 9.6% 12.9% 14.0% 12.5% 10.3% 6.4%
Andy Leshaw 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 4.9% 6.7% 9.3% 11.2% 11.9% 13.2% 13.1% 11.8% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.