Race 4A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Dillon 11.1% 11.1% 13.6% 12.7% 12.6% 12.4% 10.4% 7.2% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Andy Leshaw 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 7.5% 9.6% 9.3% 10.3% 15.1% 13.7% 10.6% 5.5%
Joshua Bartoszuk 30.5% 23.6% 17.7% 11.7% 7.7% 5.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 14.1% 16.1% 16.3% 14.0% 11.9% 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Gregory Dillon 3.2% 4.8% 5.4% 6.5% 7.2% 9.0% 9.9% 11.4% 11.9% 13.7% 11.8% 5.2%
Ian McCaffrey 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 6.3% 6.2% 9.6% 17.4% 44.4%
Nicholas Dreyer 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.8% 8.6% 8.0% 10.4% 12.0% 15.7% 14.6% 9.5%
Sam Monaghan 15.6% 16.9% 15.4% 12.0% 13.9% 9.6% 7.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Izaiah Farr 3.7% 4.0% 5.0% 8.8% 9.4% 9.7% 12.0% 11.9% 12.6% 10.2% 10.3% 2.4%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.2% 9.4% 10.7% 12.0% 10.4% 11.7% 11.7% 10.9% 7.8% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Timothy Burns 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.9% 14.5% 12.5% 12.6% 10.7% 5.2%
Felix Nusbaum 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 6.1% 6.5% 10.5% 15.5% 20.5% 26.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.