Race 5A

mass-maritime-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Bartoszuk 29.1% 20.9% 20.6% 13.5% 7.9% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 13.9% 16.1% 15.5% 15.1% 11.7% 9.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.6% 8.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.8% 11.4% 13.0% 11.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Ian McCaffrey 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 6.3% 8.7% 11.4% 17.8% 41.4%
Andy Leshaw 3.3% 5.0% 4.7% 5.7% 7.1% 9.8% 9.6% 9.4% 12.8% 13.9% 12.2% 6.5%
Joshua Dillon 11.6% 12.7% 11.2% 12.1% 13.5% 12.3% 10.3% 8.2% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Izaiah Farr 4.8% 5.4% 5.4% 7.1% 8.0% 10.5% 10.9% 9.6% 15.1% 10.2% 8.7% 4.3%
Gregory Dillon 4.0% 5.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 8.4% 10.4% 11.4% 11.5% 12.0% 12.5% 5.3%
Nicholas Dreyer 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 8.9% 9.9% 11.4% 12.0% 14.9% 13.7% 9.5%
Sam Monaghan 14.6% 17.2% 14.9% 14.7% 11.9% 10.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 1.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.7% 3.4% 5.4% 7.9% 9.6% 13.7% 21.9% 27.7%
Timothy Burns 4.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.8% 8.1% 8.5% 10.0% 12.8% 13.1% 14.0% 10.1% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.