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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98-0.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.82+0.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.13vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2715.6%1st Place
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2.49University of Pennsylvania1.7730.3%1st Place
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2.62Fordham University1.9827.0%1st Place
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4.09Cornell University0.8210.0%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.4%1st Place
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4.55SUNY Maritime College0.416.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 15.6% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 9.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 30.3% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.0% | 25.6% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 24.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 18.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.