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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.89vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+5.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+5.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.72+5.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.67vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-1.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.08vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.08-3.03vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.41-1.48vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-7.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-7.00vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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12.52Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 24.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.