Race 6A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Bartoszuk 28.6% 24.2% 18.7% 13.1% 7.2% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 13.7% 17.2% 14.6% 13.8% 14.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Izaiah Farr 5.4% 4.0% 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 10.5% 12.5% 14.2% 12.1% 8.2% 4.7%
Joshua Dillon 10.0% 11.7% 14.5% 13.1% 12.2% 12.7% 9.5% 8.1% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Andy Leshaw 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 6.5% 9.1% 10.4% 12.0% 11.1% 13.9% 12.5% 6.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 9.3% 8.1% 11.0% 10.5% 10.8% 13.3% 11.5% 9.9% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 0.4%
Gregory Dillon 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 8.0% 10.1% 9.5% 11.4% 13.0% 12.2% 9.7% 5.8%
Timothy Burns 4.0% 6.4% 5.0% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 12.1% 10.5% 11.8% 12.8% 10.9% 4.6%
Nicholas Dreyer 2.4% 3.0% 2.2% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 8.9% 12.4% 12.8% 13.1% 16.2% 8.6%
Ian McCaffrey 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 8.6% 10.2% 18.6% 41.1%
Felix Nusbaum 2.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 10.6% 15.2% 19.4% 28.5%
Sam Monaghan 15.5% 14.2% 15.3% 14.1% 13.5% 10.0% 8.2% 4.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.