Race 1B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Miles Williams 27.7% 22.7% 17.4% 15.7% 9.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 6.6% 7.3% 10.2% 10.9% 14.3% 14.8% 15.8% 12.7% 5.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Adrian Winkelman 23.9% 24.4% 18.4% 14.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Taboada 9.6% 10.4% 13.3% 14.6% 15.3% 15.6% 12.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 7.9% 8.6% 10.5% 10.4% 12.3% 14.8% 15.2% 12.9% 6.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 13.4% 14.7% 15.3% 15.2% 14.0% 11.8% 7.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Jack Leahy 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 9.7% 12.4% 14.3% 17.5% 15.1% 8.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 4.0% 7.0% 12.3% 27.0% 26.5% 15.6%
Jack Sullivan 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 6.3% 17.5% 32.6% 33.1%
Ariane Grossmann 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 5.0% 13.3% 25.3% 48.6%
Kate Myler 2.1% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 9.5% 14.4% 22.9% 17.8% 9.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.