Race 2B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Miles Williams 27.1% 23.4% 19.8% 14.2% 8.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 6.8% 7.1% 10.5% 11.2% 13.2% 16.9% 14.7% 12.1% 6.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 6.6% 7.1% 8.8% 10.9% 13.2% 16.9% 16.4% 13.0% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Adrian Winkelman 24.6% 24.1% 18.6% 14.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 14.1% 13.7% 15.4% 16.0% 15.3% 10.5% 9.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Taboada 9.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.7% 15.9% 12.2% 10.5% 7.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Leahy 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 10.5% 12.3% 14.3% 18.0% 14.1% 7.6% 3.1% 0.2%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 7.3% 14.0% 24.7% 27.5% 15.7%
Kate Myler 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 3.7% 7.0% 9.5% 14.0% 22.8% 20.1% 9.0% 3.5%
Jack Sullivan 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 1.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 7.6% 18.2% 30.4% 32.5%
Ariane Grossmann 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 2.5% 2.7% 4.5% 13.2% 26.8% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.