Race 4B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Taboada 9.5% 11.2% 13.3% 14.6% 16.3% 14.8% 12.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Miles Williams 30.5% 22.8% 16.5% 13.8% 8.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 23.6% 23.3% 19.5% 15.9% 8.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 5.9% 6.6% 9.6% 9.4% 12.9% 18.7% 17.1% 11.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Jack Leahy 5.0% 6.7% 7.3% 9.2% 12.1% 13.7% 16.8% 17.6% 8.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Olivia Lowthian 12.9% 15.0% 14.9% 15.2% 16.1% 10.8% 8.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.9% 2.2% 2.8% 6.3% 12.3% 26.4% 26.5% 15.6%
Nolan Cooper 7.9% 7.9% 11.5% 13.3% 13.5% 14.8% 13.0% 11.8% 5.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Kate Myler 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 6.8% 8.4% 14.9% 23.6% 18.7% 9.9% 3.4%
Jack Sullivan 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 6.7% 17.7% 32.5% 31.3%
Ariane Grossmann 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 3.6% 4.8% 13.6% 24.3% 49.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.