Race 5B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Taboada 9.2% 11.1% 12.6% 15.7% 17.2% 15.1% 10.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Williams 27.2% 25.0% 18.8% 14.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Leahy 5.0% 5.6% 7.2% 9.2% 10.0% 13.7% 19.3% 17.9% 9.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Nolan Cooper 6.1% 7.1% 9.6% 10.9% 13.9% 17.8% 15.1% 12.7% 5.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Adrian Winkelman 26.5% 22.8% 19.6% 12.3% 9.0% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 12.2% 13.2% 16.8% 14.5% 12.2% 5.6% 2.0% 0.1%
Olivia Lowthian 14.4% 16.0% 16.1% 15.8% 14.3% 11.3% 6.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Sullivan 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 4.5% 8.2% 18.8% 28.8% 33.2%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 2.8% 2.2% 3.2% 5.5% 9.8% 27.7% 29.2% 16.3%
Kate Myler 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 9.3% 9.0% 16.0% 21.9% 17.7% 9.4% 1.6%
Ariane Grossmann 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 6.3% 11.3% 26.9% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.