Race 6B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Leahy 4.3% 5.5% 6.5% 8.7% 13.1% 13.8% 18.9% 17.7% 8.6% 2.1% 0.8%
Nolan Cooper 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 12.4% 13.7% 17.2% 14.9% 11.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 12.8% 12.4% 16.0% 16.8% 14.3% 12.6% 9.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Williams 26.4% 23.4% 20.1% 14.1% 8.2% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Taboada 10.7% 12.6% 13.1% 14.7% 12.9% 14.1% 12.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 25.8% 25.8% 17.2% 12.8% 8.5% 6.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 8.5% 8.2% 9.8% 11.4% 15.2% 13.9% 13.9% 11.9% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Kate Myler 2.6% 2.5% 4.6% 5.6% 8.4% 9.6% 13.7% 23.2% 18.6% 9.2% 2.0%
Ariane Grossmann 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.7% 4.6% 12.0% 23.3% 52.4%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 5.4% 12.1% 26.0% 29.9% 14.5%
Jack Sullivan 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 4.1% 7.0% 19.4% 32.0% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.