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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+2.13vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.68vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+4.69vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.62+3.75vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02-2.45vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.05-1.20vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.13-1.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.02vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.38vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.60-4.20vs Predicted
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13Bates College-3.28-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Vermont1.270.3%1st Place
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4.68Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.69Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.75Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.55University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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5.8University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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6.34Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.92Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.62University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.8Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.44Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 25.8% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Addison Stead | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.9% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Faivre | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 2.4% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 6.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 3.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.