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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.03+6.80vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.05+2.97vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.38vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.13+1.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+1.82vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+1.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.58vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.59-1.26vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52-5.30vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.62-3.47vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.60-4.26vs Predicted
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13Bates College-3.28-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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8.8University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.97University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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3.62University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.27Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.82Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.74Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.7Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.53Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.74Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.46Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 24.9% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.7% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Faivre | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Victor Lomba | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 4.4% |
| Addison Stead | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Colby Green | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.