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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+2.12vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+0.63vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.13+2.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.05-0.17vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59+0.52vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.26vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.62-3.50vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.60-4.17vs Predicted
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13Bates College-3.28-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Vermont1.270.3%1st Place
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4.72Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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3.63University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.37Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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5.83University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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7.52Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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8.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.74University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.5Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.83Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.44Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 25.8% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.4% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Addison Stead | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Colby Green | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Faivre | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 2.4% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 6.2% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.