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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+0.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.52+1.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.66vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.80-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Cornell University2.3852.9%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.9%1st Place
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3.21University of Pennsylvania1.1614.4%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Maritime College-0.522.9%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9213.2%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University0.809.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 52.9% | 28.1% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 25.5% | 18.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.4% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 5.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 58.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.2% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 7.0% |
| Rebecca Keller | 9.7% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.