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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+6.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.86+8.60vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+1.11vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.79-1.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-2.73vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.41+1.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.72-0.84vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.68vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.71vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.08-5.19vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.71-8.70vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.47Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 25.7% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.