← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.27+2.10vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.02+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.76vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-1.03+4.83vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.59+2.60vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire0.05-0.18vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.62+0.63vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.94vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-0.13-2.54vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-3.60vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-3.31vs Predicted
-
12Bates College-3.28+0.42vs Predicted
-
13Williams College-0.60-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1University of Vermont1.270.3%1st Place
-
3.58University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
-
4.76Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
-
8.83University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
-
7.6Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
-
7.63Middlebury College-0.620.1%1st Place
-
8.94Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.46Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
-
7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
-
12.42Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
-
7.77Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 26.0% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 19.8% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 4.5% |
| Colby Green | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 5.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Addison Stead | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Faivre | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 80.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.