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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.36vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.14vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+3.83vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.56-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.66vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.38-0.18vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61+1.61vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.50-1.84vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.47-3.10vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-2.05vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.87-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Vermont1.320.4%1st Place
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3.72Olin College of Engineering0.460.2%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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7.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.83University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.84University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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7.66University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.82Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.61Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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8.16Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.9Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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11.17Bentley University-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 37.6% | 25.3% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 16.1% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 11.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.2% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| James Sullivan | 15.0% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 28.2% |
| Robin Potter | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Robert Houde | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Wesley Pratt | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 22.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.