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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.56+3.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.11vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.38+3.91vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.47+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-2.18vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.61+3.47vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.36vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-1.21vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.50-3.72vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.87-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Vermont1.320.4%1st Place
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5.89University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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7.91Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.98Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.82University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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10.47Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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3.64Olin College of Engineering0.460.2%1st Place
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7.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.75University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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8.28Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.2Bentley University-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 37.1% | 27.0% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Nick Harrington | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| James Sullivan | 15.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 24.0% | 27.1% |
| Colin Snow | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Robert Houde | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| Robin Potter | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Wesley Pratt | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.