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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.32vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.56+2.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-1.21vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.77vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.38+0.76vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50+0.08vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61+1.62vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.47-1.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-1.26vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-2.87-0.84vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.36-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Vermont1.320.4%1st Place
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3.69Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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5.98University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.79University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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7.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.76Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.08Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.62Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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8.01Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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11.16Bentley University-2.870.0%1st Place
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7.97University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 38.1% | 24.9% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 14.7% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 16.2% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Robin Potter | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 29.9% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Robert Houde | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| Wesley Pratt | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 22.3% | 40.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.