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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.32vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.68vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-2.87+8.12vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.59+4.35vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.72vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.38+1.79vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.47+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.39-4.23vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.50-0.88vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.61+0.51vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-7.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Vermont1.320.4%1st Place
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3.68Olin College of Engineering0.460.2%1st Place
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11.12Bentley University-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.35University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.72University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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7.79Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.91Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.77University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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8.12Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.51Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 38.7% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Pratt | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 38.6% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Anne Berg | 6.5% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Nick Harrington | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| James Sullivan | 14.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robin Potter | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 27.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Houde | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.