← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+8.64vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.38+6.07vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.93+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.94+5.72vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.47+2.50vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.68+4.97vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.20vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.61+3.13vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.82+1.30vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.84vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.40vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.59-4.58vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.89-3.17vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.66vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University3.69-8.42vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.50-4.28vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.14vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.07Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
5.91Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.72Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
-
7.5Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.97George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
11.13Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.3Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.42Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.83Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
6.58Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
11.72Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
12.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% |
| David Eastwood | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.