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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+8.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+9.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+3.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+2.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.76vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68+3.94vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.14vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.08vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-1.39vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.81vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-3.15vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.50-2.73vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-3.80vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-5.60vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.59-9.77vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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12.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.85Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| David Eastwood | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| John Ped | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.