← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+8.66vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.93+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.38+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.50+7.47vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.47+2.52vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.94vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.82+3.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.18vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.59-2.01vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.52vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.68+0.05vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.94-1.85vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-2.36vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.61-3.15vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.57vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-7.33vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University3.69-10.18vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.89-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.66Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
-
5.89Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.06Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.47Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.52Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.3Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.18University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
6.99Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
11.05George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.15Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.85Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
12.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
6.82Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.86Brown University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| David Eastwood | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| John Ped | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.