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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+5.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+5.62vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+3.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+4.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+3.54vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.68vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.38-2.91vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.68-0.73vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.54vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.89-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.78vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-6.17vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.65vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.82-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.27George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.83Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| David Eastwood | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| John Ped | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Matt Logue | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.