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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.82+1.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98-0.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.57vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Pennsylvania1.7728.6%1st Place
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3.95Cornell University0.8210.0%1st Place
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2.56Fordham University1.9828.8%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2714.9%1st Place
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4.62SUNY Maritime College0.416.2%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 28.6% | 25.7% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 28.8% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| James Kopack | 14.9% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 10.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 42.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 22.3% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.