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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+7.68vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+7.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+5.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.39vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+1.07vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23+0.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.72+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-5.50vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.87vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.79-6.96vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.32vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.41-3.47vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.67-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.02University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.39Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.53Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 16.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.