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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+4.95vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+4.37vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+5.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+2.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+3.60vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+3.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-1.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.43vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.46vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-7.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-4.17vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.68-5.80vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.95Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.81Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 20.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| David Eastwood | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.