← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+6.76vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+7.18vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.50+8.91vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.93+1.73vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.94+4.71vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.98vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.69-0.31vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.59-0.97vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.82+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.42-1.97vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.01-1.43vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.94vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.75vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.68-3.40vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.61-3.85vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.16vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.83-6.54vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University3.38-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.76Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.0%1st Place
-
11.91Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.73Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.71Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
-
12.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
-
6.69Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.03Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.36Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.03Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.57Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
12.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.6George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.15Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
7.69Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 20.9% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| David Eastwood | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.