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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+7.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+11.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+7.60vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+4.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.65vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50+4.60vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.68+2.83vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.78vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.24vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-1.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.54vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.59-7.95vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-5.60vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.93-11.14vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.21Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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7.05Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 22.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| David Eastwood | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.