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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.97vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+7.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+8.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+6.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+2.55vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+3.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.47vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.59-2.66vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-1.42vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-6.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.50-3.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-4.73vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.38-8.90vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.0%1st Place
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11.25George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.87Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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12.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Matt Logue | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| David Eastwood | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| John Ped | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 20.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.