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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+10.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+5.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+2.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+1.38vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.23+3.82vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-0.37vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.63-0.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-0.63vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-3.37vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-5.75vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.93-6.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.99vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.15-8.95vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.82Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Gray Benson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Scott Mais | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.