← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+6.82vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+8.09vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.23vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.04+4.28vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.43+1.73vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.00+2.54vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.93+1.83vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.15-0.19vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.63+1.16vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.45+1.26vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.54vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.02vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-1.75vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.07-6.07vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.45vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.83-6.63vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.07vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.23-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.28Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.73Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.83Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.81Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
10.16George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
-
11.26Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.54University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.93Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
-
11.7Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Scott Mais | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Gray Benson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.