← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+10.58vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.04+6.58vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+8.06vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.07+4.16vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+2.53vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.23+5.90vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.66vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.43-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.93-0.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.69vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.45+0.08vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.79vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.57vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.83-5.05vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.63-4.86vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.99vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.15-8.93vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.00-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.58Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
11.06U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.16Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.53Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.9Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.71Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.84Georgetown University2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.69University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.08Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.95Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
10.14George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.38Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Gray Benson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Scott Mais | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.