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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+10.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93+6.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+5.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35+4.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-0.75vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-4.12vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-3.43vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.23-2.48vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.63-4.96vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.40vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.07-8.65vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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11.52Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
| Gray Benson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.