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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+8.09vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+8.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+5.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.63+4.16vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+3.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-0.46vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-1.53vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-4.05vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-4.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-2.86vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.43-8.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.49-5.11vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.45-5.88vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.17Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Gray Benson | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.