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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+4.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.70vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-0.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.92vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-2.67vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-5.79vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.30vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.21Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Emily Billing | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 34.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.