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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.80+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.78vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Cornell University2.3851.3%1st Place
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3.53Fordham University0.8012.4%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Pennsylvania1.1614.2%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Maritime College-0.522.9%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9212.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 51.3% | 29.1% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Keller | 12.4% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 21.3% | 9.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 26.2% | 18.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.2% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 6.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 58.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.0% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.