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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+8.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+5.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+6.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.65vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+1.20vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.39vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50+1.63vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.63+0.30vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.99-2.38vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.93-2.92vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-3.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-3.61vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.39vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.35-4.65vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.83-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.63Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.56Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% |
| Gray Benson | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| James Paul | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Scott Mais | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.