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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+6.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+8.99vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+3.85vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+6.19vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+4.76vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.16+1.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+0.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.94-4.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-4.16vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-5.22vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-5.40vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-4.56vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.77-4.30vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-3.33vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.06-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.99Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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11.19Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.87Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.6Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.7Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.67University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.24College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Alden Grimes | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 28.3% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.