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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.75+10.84vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+8.25vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.11+7.46vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.06+6.29vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.94+1.72vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27+6.51vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03+2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-1.08vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84+1.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.58vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-2.76vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-5.65vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-9.37vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-8.00vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-5.09vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.84Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.29College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.3SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.51University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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11.6Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 14.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Alden Grimes | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 25.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| John McKenna | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.