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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.86vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+3.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+3.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.75+4.60vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+0.69vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.84+2.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+0.83vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.06-1.29vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-3.95vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.77-3.54vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-7.43vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.36SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.6Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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10.71College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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13.61University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| John McKenna | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 28.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.