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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+7.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65+6.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+5.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.12vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+3.49vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.84+5.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.35vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.27+4.49vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-4.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-0.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-2.74vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.53vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.06-4.72vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.75-4.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-5.14vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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13.49University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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11.68Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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11.31Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 24.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.