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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+5.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+5.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.16vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.75+6.49vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+2.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.06+3.31vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+2.00vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.77+2.62vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27+3.64vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.49-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.49vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-4.40vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.24vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.03-5.48vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.84-5.58vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.16SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.49Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.31College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.62Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.64University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.42Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 28.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.