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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+6.62vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+5.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.06+6.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+4.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+4.66vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+0.70vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.84+2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.65-1.94vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.75+0.78vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-3.16vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-3.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-6.88vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.02vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-3.39vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.24Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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11.78Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.61University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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11.34Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| John McKenna | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 28.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.