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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+9.02vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+6.37vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+8.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.06+6.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+5.01vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.94+0.67vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27+3.65vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.84+0.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+0.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-7.47vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.80vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.24-5.50vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-5.97vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.77-5.38vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-11.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.84Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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13.65University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.62Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 25.3% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.