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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.87vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.82+1.00vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.65vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Pennsylvania1.7728.1%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.7%1st Place
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4.0Cornell University0.829.6%1st Place
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2716.0%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Maritime College0.416.0%1st Place
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2.56Fordham University1.9829.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 28.1% | 25.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 19.8% |
| Amelia Neumann | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 22.2% |
| James Kopack | 16.0% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 10.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 41.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 29.6% | 25.0% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.