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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+7.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80+7.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.34vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+2.74vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.50vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.33-4.80vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-3.31vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.72vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.81-5.71vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.02-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.17University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.69Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 36.8% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.