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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+9.91vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.24+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+3.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+3.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.06+2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-1.25vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.16+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.27+1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-2.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-2.66vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-6.32vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.84-4.67vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.94-10.15vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.91Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.26College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.31Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 29.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| John McKenna | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.