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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+10.04vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+4.08vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+9.85vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24+6.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+1.75vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.38vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93+0.60vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48-2.54vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.63-3.81vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+0.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.93-4.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-5.98vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-0.95vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.73-6.38vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-3.71vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.12-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.04University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.85Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.6Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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14.05University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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13.29Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.78Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Max Anker | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 26.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 19.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.