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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+12.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.19+6.00vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+6.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+4.76vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24+6.54vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.09+2.24vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-0.93vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94+4.69vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-0.76vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.48-3.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-5.59vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-6.40vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.41-3.27vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.74-5.40vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-4.69vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.73-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.39Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.69Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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6.41Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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9.6Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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14.32University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 19.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 31.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.