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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.48+5.79vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.19+5.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41+6.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+7.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+2.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.73+1.48vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.24+1.74vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-2.02vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81+1.38vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.09-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-3.25vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-8.62vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.12-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.18-1.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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13.38Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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15.07University of South Florida0.180.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Matthew King | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
| Micky Munns | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Ward | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Lexie Foos | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 40.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.