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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.48+5.77vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.19+5.86vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.09+5.27vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+1.91vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+7.57vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73+3.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+1.21vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93+0.68vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-2.67vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.12+2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.41+0.02vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.35-2.04vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-8.42vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.24-4.40vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-8.62vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.55-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.86SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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5.91Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.57Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.88Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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13.92University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Micky Munns | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Justin | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.