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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.48+5.87vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+11.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.35+6.98vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+3.74vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.09+2.19vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-0.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-0.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93-0.96vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.19-3.06vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.85+1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.73-3.54vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-4.73vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.81-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.41-4.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-8.49vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.55-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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13.03Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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6.49Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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9.27Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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13.17Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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13.93University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 20.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Luke Justin | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.